REPLAY · May 10–20, 2021

The May 2021 Cascade

Open interest climbed into record highs while funding stayed persistently positive — longs were crowded and paying carry. A single intraday wick through ~$30k triggered cascading liquidations that wiped billions in OI before price recovered above $40k.

◇ THE MAY 2021 CASCADE · REPLAYBinance BTCUSDT archived daily OHLC + USDT-M funding

◇ accent dots mark daily wick lows (e.g. May 19 ~$30k)

STEP 1/7

Leverage piles in near the highs

Open interest is the gross notional of outstanding contracts — like total derivatives open on a single-name equity before an earnings gap. Here it climbs steadily while spot grinds toward $58k. More people are opening perp positions with leverage; a shakeout would hurt more people.